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Financing the Economic Stabilization and Growth Programme (Zambia Plus) in the Shadow of the IMF

Financing the Economic Stabilization and Growth Programme (Zambia Plus) in the Shadow of the IMF

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  • Size: 25MB
  • Creator / Author: Joan Addedis
  • Resource Type: Africa Capacity Report
  • # Download: 254
  • Access: Open to Download

January, 2018

Basic Information
Creator / Author
Cheelo, Caesar
Source / Publisher
Zambia Institute for Policy Analysis and Research (ZIPAR)
Number of Pages
28
Geographic & Audience Details
Classification & Domains
Subject
Economic Growth
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Abstract

In February 2018, the IMF reaffirmed its August 2017 formal withdrawal from negotiations with Zambia over a package of financial support. The strong position to hold negotiations came in the IMFs Article IV Consultations report of 2017, which concluded that Zambia was at high risk of debt distress, and that whilst financial management and fiscal discipline were improving, the extent of the improvement was not sufficient to mitigate the growing public debt and fiscal deficit. Whilst the IMF deal may be off the table for the time being, the many of problems that drove Zambia to engage the IMF most assuredly remain unresolved. Two to three years after the economic minicrisis of 2015, Zambia continued to accrue sizable new debts, to utilize the proceeds poorly (to fund consumption spending) and to run persistent fiscal deficits albeit a smaller and seemingly better managed deficit in 2017 compared to 2015 and 2016. These issues remain problematic despite the partial economic rebound, with high copper prices, good rains (leading to good harvests and more reliable power supply), and a stable Kwacha providing a strong platform for improvement. Nonetheless, fiscal performance is lagging behind and Zambia may be missing a window to reestablish prudent public financial management.
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Keywords

Fiscal Governance, Debt Distress, Economic Policy and Structural Reform
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